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Related media - Breaking news Wall Street’s most reliable recession indicator started signaling trouble in 2022 and hasn’t stopped since, but so far it has proven wrong every time. The yield on 10-year Treasuries has been lower than that of many shorter-term bonds, a scenario known as an inverted yield curve, which has historically preceded nearly every recession since the 1950s. Traditionally, an inverted yield curve suggests a recession within a year or two. However, not only has a recession not occurred, but U.S. economic growth remains stable. This has led many on Wall Street to wonder why this once-reliable indicator has proven wrong this time and whether it still signals economic danger. "So far, he hasn't predicted a recession," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Anal...

More news - News 24 hours Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak at the Economic Club of Washington, D.C., on Monday, providing insights into the central bank's interest rate policy and the broader economic landscape. Powell will engage in a discussion with David Rubenstein, president of the Economic Club and co-founder of The Carlyle Group. The move marks Powell’s first public comments since Thursday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which showed monthly prices for June falling. During his two-day testimony on Capitol Hill last week, Powell said the Federal Reserve now sees the risks of rising inflation and a slowing economy as more balanced. He also said the central bank does not need to wait for inflation to hit its 2% target before considering rate cuts. The Fed’s n...